You may have noticed that world-class geniuses like Greenpeace and Al Gore and Prince Charles are starting to sound increasingly desperate as they command us to drive toy cars and use crappy lightbulbs and such, or else WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE. Well, maybe this, as reported in Science Daily, is one reason for that:
No one knows exactly how much Earth’s climate will warm due to carbon emissions, but a new study suggests scientists’ best predictions about global warming might be incorrect.
The study, which appears in Nature Geoscience, found that climate models explain only about half of the heating that occurred during a well-documented period of rapid global warming in Earth’s ancient past. The study, which was published online July 13, contains an analysis of published records from a period of rapid climatic warming about 55 million years ago known as the Palaeocene-Eocene thermal maximum, or PETM.
“In a nutshell, theoretical models cannot explain what we observe in the geological record,” said oceanographer Gerald Dickens, a co-author of the study and professor of Earth science at Rice University. “There appears to be something fundamentally wrong with the way temperature and carbon are linked in climate models.”
Wait, okay, so let me get this straight: Way back when, almost in dinosaur times, the planet got a lot warmer. Even though there were no cars and air conditioners. But carbon dioxide levels didn’t increase enough to explain the warming, at least if we’re going by the pet theory of the President of the Environment.
I think that’s what they’re saying. But how can it be possible that I’m not killing the planet every time I drive somewhere or keep my food from spoiling or watch my DVD of An Inconvenient Truth? What sort of world do we live in where a bunch of phony “scientists” can try to tell me I’m not solely responsible for destroying the environment? Don’t these dummies know there are computer models? You know, from computers? That’s right.
Now if you’ll excuse me, I have to drive my Hummer to the recycling center. We all have to do our part, people.
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This is why I’ve decided to get a head start and jump on the “Global Cooling is going to kill us all!” bandwagon and see what money I can make off of it.
Oh, and not to toot my own horn, but there is no way I could fit all of my recyclables in a Hummer, that’s why I take mine in a private plane.
Ree-cyyyy-kling??
Is that where you throw everything into one can so you don’t have to make two trips to the curb? Cuz I totally do that.
Plus it really ticks off Earthy-hippie types you know gray hair, pony tail wide, wild eyes,so it’s a win-win.
Plus Obama throws like a girl.
Take that Earthy-hippie types!
Hmmm. Throws like a Girly man? Looks like it.
See, this is why I am such a huge fan of geology – rocks don’t lie, they don’t have a political motivation, and no one complains when you cut them up for scientific purposes.
Global warming types always get nervous around you when they know you are well grounded in geology, because the ebb and flow of the climate holds little mystery to someone who understands the 4 billion year history of this rotating rock ball.
The largest extinction in Earth’s history wasn’t caused by an asteroid, it wasn’t caused by a disease, it most certainly wasn’t caused by Hummers and air conditioners – but nevertheless the Earth still managed to reach such high temperatures that most of it’s surface was covered by vast deserts. Maybe, just MAYBE, we don’t have the impact these morons think we do.
Whew! Try saying the title of this article 10 times fast!
)
I’m confused….the left wants mankind to die off so that the animals can live in peace, but then they are also worried that we’ll kill ourselves off? I just can’t focus on that fuzzy logic.
And so we see that the REAL reason we need to hurry up and pass legislation to benefit the global warming Chicken Littles is that the longer we wait, the more time people have to discover that global warming is a bunch of crap. The human race as a whole is so narcissistic: not only are we responsible for every facet of the weather, we can control it too!
Which is why we still can’t predict tomorrow’s weather accurately.
Shhhhh, Janna. They don’t think we realize that.
I still think that big ball of fire in the sky might have something to do with it…
I proudly don’t recycle. Haven’t in… I can’t recall. The private company our town hired to take our recycle shit away will take both bins, tip them over, and dump them into the same hole in the same side of the same truck, then drive it over to some random building site, and dump all of it onto the same conveyor belt as all the other trucks that look the same, doing the same shit with our shit. And then – get this, kids – staff hired by the private company, using funds by the town through sweetheart contract, getting paid more than I pay myself running our computer store with our own parts recycling program, stand around all day resorting the stuff the town told us to pre-sort before the trucks came around each week?
Still with me? No? That’s exactly why we don’t recycle anymore. We were royally pissed when we watched the truck drivers one day and realised Penn & Teller were dead on about recycling being a make-work project for unemployable people.
FCUK!!!
All I need to know about global warming can be summed up with this:
We’ve been wearing jackets in Chicago in the middle of July. In the past it has usually been upwards of 90, frequently over 100 by now.
IMO, global warming is a sham, case closed.
This is awesome for so many reasons. Gee, Al Gores of the world, explain to me again why most of the US is having a colder than average summer?
I’m doing my best to add to it, raising a bunch of farting goats…and I ain’t just talking about my two legged kids either. :^D
Colorado senator Tim Wirth …
“We’re got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing — in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.”
Wirth said what all leftists (aka environmentalists) are thinking. How’s that for an ‘inconvenient truth’ Al?
The same people who don’t want anyone else telling them what to do with unborn children, want to exercise ironclad control over what we do with OUR TRASH. That handbasket is getting awfully crowded.
Global warming? Ohio on Saturday, July 18th MIGHT reach 70 degrees. Instead of the normal 80-90. Take that fatso!
How can climate prediction models out to 5, 10, 15+ years be reliable ? Answer: they can’t.
This may be TL:DR, but read it if you want to learn something.
My degree is in weather — meteorology as it were. I learned about many different models that forecast the positions of high’s, low’s, moisture levels, temperature, etc. Stuff like ∇ = (∂[]/∂x)x + (∂[]/∂y)y + (∂[]/∂z)z (still makes my head hurt). Today’s models can forecast those positions and values from the surface on up to 55,000 ft (not much atmosphere that matters above that – that’s how high those weather balloons go) pretty accurately out to 3 days, much better than 15 years ago, mostly due to faster computers. The models have always been good, but due to the slower computers, in order for the forecasts to be created in time to be any good, they had to leave out some parameters. In the late ’50s, the first 24-hr forecast took something like 2 days to compute.
Forecast positions are now fairly accurate to 5 days, but then the errors in the original analysis cause the forecast positions to go bad. The original analysis can never be perfect – never enough initial data – that’s why the balloons are launched twice a day round-the-world at 0000 UTC and 1200 UTC — the US alone launches about 2 per state:
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/analysis.raob.html
The models are rerun twice a day with new data. Forecasts for individual points will always be a little off, and the rouge thunderstorm will pop up now and then.
But after 7 days, all bets are off — the accuracy is shot. So, how can climate prediction models out to 5, 10, 15+ years be reliable ? Answer: they can’t. You know those TV forecasts that used to be to out to 3 days, then 5, then 7, and in the last year or so some stations doing 10 days ? That’s only because the public has asked for it. Sure, the values can be forecast out to that length, but reliability goes out the window, unless you’re in Phoenix – “High’s in the low 100’s for the next 3 months”.
Les Paul – if what you are telling us is true how much longer can the global warming thugs stifle science and the truth? How frustrating.
Well, Jenn, there are a lot of weather folks that are skeptical of man-made global warming / changes, as least to the extent that the alarmists would have us believe. And that’s what the whole debate revolves around — whether it’s man-made. I don’t have a problem with there being warming – in some areas of the globe there has been. Or cooling – likewise has happened in other areas. But if glaciers had been melting say 3-5 times more than they actually have been, and global avg temps rising 5 degrees or more in the last 10 years, then I think no one would argue that there’s some warming going on, regardless of what’s causing it.
Although I haven’t been paid as a weather guy for 20 years, I’m still part of the local American Meteorological Society chapter, I’ve been one of the officers from time to time, and volunteer as a Skywarn severe weather / amateur radio person, so I rub shoulders with NWS and Weather Channel and local TV personalities often, and keep up-to-date with the science. In case my current job folds, I supppose I could still get a job at the NWS (Ah, shift work!). The head weather guy at our NWS office just recently started leaning towards there being a global warming, but not because of climate models — for many weather folks it would have to be something different to convince them, and for him it’s something about isotopes of various chemicals in ice samples.
I did ask him about the accuracy of thermometers 100 to 50 years ago. He did have some nice charts that showed after taking into account the possible inaccuracies, that there has still been some avg warming. I said “this 1 degree we keep hearing about, is that C of F?” He said 1C, which is a little more than 1F. Then I said “just what avg’s are we talking about? The avg Hi’s for how many reputable weather stations? Or avg Lo’s, or avg Avg ? I forgot what he said. But even the “1 Degree warmer” numbers wasn’t much to concern him.
My point is, the climate models might not be accurate, but global warming could still be going on. It doesn’t make sense to build your theory around a model that’s not good — use something else more reliable. But the alarmists will use the models anyway because either they know the public doesn’t know the science, or maybe they themselves don’t know it.
And the sun has a lot more influence than man has.
To people like Algore & P-Cha, the plight of the masses matters not a whit. Global warming? How about, Pay the mortgage? Put kids through school? Why don’t they take up those causes and champion some serious tax cuts that would actually help better the average person’s life? Oh, right, that would be anathema to the core of their beings.
We need a public guillotine session.
I hate this subject because of the fanatics.
Is it happening? Probably
Are we the cause? We are not helping it.
Should we do something about it? For the long benefits of our grandkids, most definitely.
The answer? This is where the fanatics get really stupid.
Fanatic: Let’s have the government tax businesses and force Detroit to make only cars that get 100mpg because, you know, the government is famous for its effeciency. Plus companies are greedy and don’t do anything anyway but exploit the unwashed masses and pollute.
“I still think that big ball of fire in the sky might have something to do with it…”
You mean the one that could fit 1,300,000 earths in it and weighs as much as 330,000 earths?
And burns at 27 million degrees Fahrenheit (15 million Celsius)?
The one that contains 98% of the matter in the solar system?
The one that’s hot enough to fuse together hydrogen atoms into heavier elements?
The one that is mere light minutes from earth?
You think that might have something to do with it?
You sir are barking mad. Everyone knows it’s cow farts and automobiles. [/sarcasm]
D
Doing something about global warming seems to denote that it’s inherintly a bad thing-which is debatable.
D— and Pin.
“Are we the cause? We are not helping it.”
I agree that we are certainly not doing the Earth or ourselves any favors with various forms of pollution, both intentional and inadvertent. As I think a lot of us are saying, it’s to what degree.
I just want to say that “Cow Farts and Automobiles” was the name of my first band in college.
They LOVED us in Albania.
Michael Kerjman, an oppressed talent from British outskirts, explains much in his “Of Planetary Change Short Story” www. thefreelibrary.com/Of+Planetary+Change+Short+Story-a01074017802
I would award him the Nobel Prize rather than to the UN Enviropanel having already polluted world for COP summits at extent exceeding a level of pollution to be decreased till 2075.